Your Guide to U.S. Elections
Welcome to The Election Guide. This site will be updated regularly with the latest news and information about U.S. elections especially the 2008 Presidential Election and the 2008 Presidential Candidates.
November 4th, 2008 is Election Day. The next set of national elections that will shape our country's future will occur on this day. Election Day 2008 features the Presidential Election, 33 U.S. Senate Elections, 435 U.S. Congressional Elections and 11 state gubernatorial elections.
Tuesday March 4, 2008
Today is a very important date in the presidential race. Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama face off in Ohio, Texas, Rhode Island and Vermont. Clinton badly needs to win Ohio and Texas to keep her hopes alive. The latest polls show her up by a few points in Ohio and tied in Texas. On the Republican side John McCain will likely win enough delegates to ensure the nomination.
Friday February 22, 2008
It is looking more and more like it will be John McCain versus Barack Obama in the Presidential race. Hillary Clinton is just about out of chances. She will need to win Texas and Ohio on March 4th to have any sort of chance. Even then it seems unlikely. Barack Obama is ahead by more than 100 pledged delegates.
Tuesday February 12, 2008
There were a few caucuses and primaries over the weekend. Barack Obama won all of the Democratic contests. John McCain and Mike Huckabee split the Republican contests. Obama has now taken the lead in pledged delegates.
There are three contests today, Virginia, Maryland and Washington DC. Obama and McCain are expected to win all three. Clinton needs a close second in Virginia. The next races that are favorable for Clinton aren't until March 4th when Texas and Ohio vote.
Wednesday February 6, 2008
John McCain wins big on Super Tuesday. McCain wins California, New York, New Jersey, Illinois, Missouri, Arizona and a few other smaller states to take a commanding lead on the GOP side. Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton split the Democratic vote. The total number of delegates won are not yet known but it should be close. Clinton's major wins include California, New York, New Jersey. Obama wins Illinois, Georgia, Connecticut, Missouri and several others.
Tuesday February 5, 2008
Today is Super Tuesday. Over 20 states will be holding primaries or caucuses which could potentially decide both parties nominees. It is likely John McCain will win all but a handful of states on the Republican side. Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama are likely to be close in both the number of states and the number of delegates they win. A larger than expected win by either could decide the race but it's unlikely.
Wednesday January 30, 2008
John McCain and Hillary Clinton are the winners in Florida. McCain won the crucial contest by about five points, 36-31. Hillary Clinton won 50-33 over Barack Obama. None of the Democrats actively campaigned in Florida and right now it has no delegates because it violated DNC rules by setting the primary too early. John McCain has taken the delegate lead on the Republican side with his victory and is in good position in many Super Tuesday states.
Rudy Giuliani finished a disappointing third with about 15 percent of the vote. He is expected to drop out possibly as soon as tomorrow and endorse John McCain.
Super Tuesday is 6 days away. More than 20 states will be voting or caucusing. The largest states include California, New York, Illinois, and New Jersey. Almost 50 percent of the total delegates are up for grabs next Tuesday.
Polls show Clinton and McCain leading many of the bigger states. A new wave of polls taken after Florida should be available tomorrow or Thursday which will give us a clearer picture of what to expect.
Tuesday January 29, 2008
The Florida Primaries are today. Hillary Clinton will win the uncontested Democratic primary. The Republican primary is between John McCain and Mitt Romney.
On Saturday, Barack Obama won the South Carolina primary by over 25 percent. Obama has gained momentum and several endorsements as a result. He could be competitive on Super Tuesday as a result.
Monday January 21, 2008
The weekend featured the Nevada Caucuses which were won by Hillary Clinton and Mitt Romney.
The Republican South Carolina primary was Saturday as well. John McCain won over Mike Huckabee 33 to 30. Fred Thompson needed to do better than his third place showing. He will likely drop out of the race soon.
Next up is South Carolina for the Democrats. Barack Obama is leading Hillary Clinton by a few points in the polls. The primary will take place Saturday.
Next Tuesday is the Florida Primary. It could very well decide the Republican nominee. Rudy Giuliani is depending on winning Florida. John McCain is leading recent polls and a win would make him a big favorite heading into Super Tuesday one week later. For the Democrats Hillary Clinton is likely to win Florida though it has no delegates because it violated Democratic National Committee rules by holding the primary too early.
Wednesday January 16, 2008
Mitt Romney won the Republican Michigan primary yesterday by a healthly 10 point margin over second place John McCain. Mike Huckabee placed third. Romney is now solidly back in the race and so far has the most delegates. The race is very tight among the top four Republicans heading into Nevada and South Carolina this Saturday. I expect Romney or McCain to win Nevada and McCain or Huckabee to win South Carolina. If McCain could win both he would be in very good shape to win Florida on the 29th. A win in all three likely delivers California and several other states to McCain on Super Tuesday. That would likely knock Giuliani out and help McCain even more since they both appeal to the more moderate Republicans.
Hillary Clinton beat "Uncommitted" by about 20 points in Michigan. Right now Michigan's delegates don't count because the state violated Democratic National Committee rules. If the race is close heading into the Democratic convention there could be a major showdown over counting Michigan and Florida delegates.
The three major Democrats also participated in a debate in Nevada last night. It seemed to be a rather calm debate with lots of agreement among the candidates. Democrats have the Nevada Caucus on Saturday then the South Carolina Primary next Saturday and Florida the 29th.
Tuesday January 15, 2008
The Michigan Primaries are today. Hillary Clinton will win easily as she is the only major Democrat on the ballot. John McCain and Mitt Romney are both looking to win the Republican primary. My best guess is that McCain will win by a small margin largely due to the fact that Michigan has an open system that allows anyone to vote in the Republican primary. Independents and some Democrats are likely to vote for McCain with no real race on the Democratic side.
Monday January 14, 2008
Tomorrow is the Michigan Primary. Hillary Clinton is facing off against Uncommitted as Barack Obama and John Edwards aren't on the ballot. She will obviously win but it will important to see by how much. Mitt Romney and John McCain are the two frontrunners on the Republican side. Polls showed John McCain leading a few days ago but the last few polls have Romney ahead. It should be close with Mike Huckabee in third place.
New national polls show Hillary Clinton leading by margins of 5-15 percent. John McCain is leading Republicans by margins of 8-15 percent.
Four days after Michigan the Nevada Caucuses and the Republican South Carolina Primary will take place. Labor unions will be important in the Nevada Democratic caucus. Barack Obama won the endorsement of the important Culinary Worker's Union and may have a small advantage. The Republican races are wide open. John McCain received the endorsements of two major South Carolina newspapers, The State and The Greenville News which should help him. Mike Huckabee has strong support from the large evangelical. Fred Thompson, the most conservative candidate, is making his last stand in South Carolina. I expect Huckabee to win with McCain second. In Nevada I expect Mitt Romney to win because of the significant Mormon population.
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